I believe the european model guidance is too far west with this storm as the system currently west of japan correlates with an east GLC, OV or Apps runner track in the 6-10 day period which is much more in line with the GFS. Watch for the european and other modelling showing a west-central GLC to shift east.Surface Map:
Reduced: 85% of original size [ 600 x 512 ] - Click to view full image
Satellite Picture Shows the storm west of Japan:
Reduced: 79% of original size [ 641 x 476 ] - Click to view full image
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